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 We decided to publish regular on the site Bulletins of Earthquake Prediction for all regions of the World that we control the current time. All Bulletins will be stored in the archives. Each of the following contains information about changing the seismic situation in the systems since the publication of the previous, and may also include monitoring and prediction of new seismic systems.

13.07.2011. It is given below Bulletin 004                                                                                           Akopian S.Ts., Popov Å.À.

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* The number SS and Subsystems in which we make monitoring and forecast exceeded 100! They include the seismic-hazard territories of 55 countries! /2010.04.20/ *

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Japan. In the last 55 years (since 1953) in Tokyo area there was dangerously only 2 months (July-August 2008), and remaining time (99.70%) strong earthquake from M>7.8 were excluded on the basis of the method of seismic entropy.

 

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Everybody has the right to obtain information about the prepared earthquakes in one or other region of the world, to know about dangerous time intervals for the independent choice of the place of residence, stay and leisure. Such possibility today is available!

EPC «GeoQuake» was organized in March 2007 with the purpose of creation of global system of monitoring and prediction of strong earthquakes of the world on the basis of seismic entropy. If we go by the traditional path of scientific development, the solution of the problem of earthquake forecast on a global scale the Earth it will be required from 50 to 100 years, and the method of seismic entropy allows to make it already today.  The author of a method doctor phys.-math. sciences, the academican Int.Ac.of Geoecology, Akopian S.Ts.

EARTHQUAKES

and THE CLUE CODE of CALENDAR

MAYA  2012

 Warning to all inhabitants of Planet Earth!

Tsolkin Samvel, April 04, 2011  00:16:18 

 

 

 31.05.2011:  Monitoring and the forecast of Mega-earthquakes in Anatoly (east Turkey) Ì=7.9, in the north of Bengal Bay (Myanmar)Ì=8.8, in the central Mexico Ì=8.2, in the southeast from Kamchatka (RF) Ì=8.4

 

 27.03.2011:  Earthquake in territory of Myanmar near to border with Thailand and Laos from March 24, 2011, Ì7.2 is successfully predicted... In Bay of Bengal along coast of Myanmar preparation of last stage tsunamigenic mega earthquakes with Ì=8.8 has begun. It can surpass all catastrophic earthquakes of the world In scales of possible human victims and material losses...

 

 20.01.2011:  The situation in SS Pakistan-Afganistan after earthquake 2011.01.18  20:23:23  28.73N  63.93E  H=68 km М=7.2  did not change. Earthquake occurred out of SS in the province Baluchistan on the southwest of Pakistan and had normal mechanism. Epicentre is located between SS Lut and Pakistan-Afghanistan, where historical earthquakes it was not observed...  

 

 24.12.2010:  The situation in SS Lut, Iran  after earthquake 2010.12.20  18:41:59  28.4959.12E  H=12 km  Ìs=6.6  in eastern province of Kerman. Difficulty in forecasting this event is associated with the feature of this earthquake, which lies in the fact that it happened or unknown paleofault, or was a consequence of the formation of a new fracture ...

 

 12.12.2010:  In recent years there have been various forecasts of impending large earthquakes near densely populated cities and capitals of the Central Asian republics. Given the concerns of citizens and numerous appeals inhabitants of these republics, we are on the basis of seismic entropy with December 1, 2010 will be doing monitoring and prediction of strong earthquakes with M≥6.5 for Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan, southern Kazakhstan and NW China (see Bulletin 003).

 

 28.10.2010:  The situation in SS Sumatra after earthquake 2010.10.25  14:42:23  03.48S  100.11E  H=21 km   Ìs=7.3   (Mw=7.7)  in the west of the island of Pagai-Selatan. The earthquake was expected and predicted in subsystem North of Sumatra, it confirmed the unusual nature of previous earthquakes in the system... In the next 3 months near the Mentawai Islands west of Sumatra may occur catastrophic earthquake with M=8.5 and the deadly tsunami...  Population in West Sumatra, Mentawai Islands of Indonesia, as well as islands and coastal countries in the Indian Ocean must be vigilant!

 

 10.05.2010:   Earthquake on the north-west of Sumatra, Indonesia, 2010.05.09  05:59:42  03.77N  96.05W  H=60 km  Ì=7.3, was successfully  predicted... Changes and updates Forecasts for the SS Burma Microplate after the earthquake on May 9, 2010... In the area of Yangon (the capital of Myanmar) possible strong earthquake with Ì=7.4-7.5.

 

 20.04.2010:  Situation in SS Sumatra after the earthquake 2010.04.06  22:15:02  02.36N  97.13E  H=31 km  Ì=7.7 did not change. Earthquake happened in the junction of large and small plates. It freed the accumulated static stresses and brought into equilibrium these plates in the zone of their contact. This earthquake is the response of untypical earthquake from 30.09.2009...

 

 12.04.2010:  Earthquake in the south of Spain 2010.04.11  22:08:10  37.08N  03.47W  H=617 km  М=6.2 because of depth hypocenter is the mysterious, single event, which emerges far beyond the framework of seismic systems in this region. Our forecasts for Spain, led to Bulletin 002, remain valid.  

 

 09.04.2010:  After the Sierra El Mayor Earthquake 2010.04.04  22:40:41  32.13N  115.30W  H=10 km  Ì=7.2 in Baja California (NW Mexico) we revealed SS Baja California, responsible for its preparation, and SS Gulf of California, responsible for strong earthquakes in the Northwest of Mexico. Was estimated the influence of Sierra El Mayor Earthquake on the seismic situation in California (USA)...

 

 02.04.2010:  Earthquake on the north of Andaman Islands, India, 2010.03.30  16:54:48 13.61N  92.88W  H=42 km  М=6.6 was successfully  predicted in Bulletin 002. Changes and the refinement of forecasts for SS Microplate Burma and subsystems after earthquake on March 30, 2010... The probabilities of strong earthquakes jumped upward...

 

 25.03.2010:  Mega-seismic system Chile. After the earthquake Mauli, Chile, on February 27, 2010, M8.8, we revealed the MSS of Chile, responsible for its preparation and held a retrospective forecast. Pointed out the specifics of the preparation of the strongest earthquake in the world of May 22, 1960, M9.5. Forecasts for MSS of Chile are added in Bulletin 002.

 

 18.03.2010:  Situation in Seismic subsystem North of Sachalin after the earthquake from March 16, 2010, Ì5.5. This earthquake had a magnitude close to the threshold; it sharply raised the probability of moderate earthquake with M5.7 in subsystem … On the north of Sakhalin strengthening energy of earthquakes occurs ...  

 

 09.03.2010: Situation in SS Armenian Upland after the Karakocan earthquake on the east Turkey 2010.03.08  02:32:35   38.88N  39.97E  H=10 km  Ìs=6.0 continues to remain critical. Karakocan earthquake is the remote foreshock, its kind by the trigger of the expected catastrophe. Now catastrophic earthquake on the eastern segment of NAF can occur to the end April 2010. The moderate earthquakes from 5.8<M<6.6 in East Turkey, number of which includes Karakocan, we are not thus far forecast... 

 

 08.12.2009 Update 02.03.2010: Situation in seismic system Armenian Upland remains critical. The preparation of the catastrophic earthquake in eastern Turkey is in the final stages... Model of the source of expected earthquake  NAF move01

 

 02.10.2009: Situation in the SS Sumatra after earthquakes 2009.09.30  10:16:10  0.79S   99.96E  H=80 km  Мs=7.3 and 2009.10.01  01:52:32.50S   101.54E  H=15 km  Мs=6.6 on the west of Sumatra, Indonesia. Strong earthquake occurred in the forecasted zone, but this not expected earthquake... 

 

10.09.2009: Situation in seismic system Armenian Upland becomes critical. The probability of the catastrophic earthquake  in the East of Turkey sharply grew after earthquake  in NW of Georgia.

 

08.09.2009: Situation in the SS Krasnodar Kray - Crimea. About prediction of earthquake 2009.09.07  22:41:37  42.71N  43.48E  H=10km,     Мs=6.1 on the northwest of Georgia. Refinement of forecasts for this system, given in Bulletin 001.

 

06.09.2009: Situation in the SS Java after earthquake 2009.09.02  07:55:03  7.78S   107.37E  H=50 km Мs=7.0 on the southwest of Java, Indonesia, the special feature of this earthquake. Refinement of forecasts for Java, given in Bulletin 001.

 

16.08.2009: Situation in the SS Sumatra after earthquake 2009.08.16  07:38:26  1.40S   99.47E  H=45 km  Мs=6.8 in the region of Mentawai Islands, Indonesia. Refinement of forecasts for Sumatra, given in Bulletin 001.

 

12.08.2009: Why the earthquake 2009.08.10  19:55:39  14.01N   92.92E  H=33 km  Ìs=7.6 in the area of Andaman islands, India, it was not predicted... Situation in SS Burma Microplate after this strong earthquake did not change and all forecasts remain valid (Bulletin 001)

 

 

In the Bulletin 004 are given the scenarios of the development of seismicity and the forecast of strong earthquakes on September 17, 2010 for the countries:

Afganistan

Algeria

Altai (Rus)

Argentina

Arkansas (USA)

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Bangladesh

Baykal

Belize

Bhutan

Bolivia

Brazil (W)

Burundi

California

California (Owen)

California (South)Caucasus NE (Rus)Caucasus NW (Rus)

Cayman Islands

Chile

China (Tibet)

China (SW)

China (NE)

China (NW)

China (Xinjiang)

Crimea (Ukrain.)

Cuba (S)

Cuba (SW)

D.R.Congo

Dom.Rep.

Egypt

Equador (S)

France

Georgia

Gonduras (N)

Guatemala (E)

Haiti

Hokkaido (Jap)

Illinois (USA)

Indiana (USA)

India (Gimal.)

India (islands)

Indonesia (Sum)

Indonesia (Java)

Iran

Iran (cen.)

Iran (south)

Israel

Italy

Jamaika (E)

Jamaika (W)

Japan (Honshu)

Japan (Kyushu)

Japan (Sikoku)

Japan (SW RyuKyu)

Jordan

Kamchatka (Rus)

Kazakhstan (S)

Kazakhstan (SW)

Kentucky (USA)

Koryak (Rus)

Kuriles (Rus)

Kyrgyzstan*

Lebanon

Malawi

Marocco

Mexico NW

Mexico (C)

Missouri (USA)

Mongolia W

Mozambique

Myanmar

Nepal

Pakistan

Peru

Portugal

Puerto Rico

Romania (Vrancea)

Sakhalin (Rus)

Saudi Arabia

Slovenia

Spain

Syria

Sumatra

Taiwan

Tajikistan

Tanzania

Tennessee (USA)Thailand

Turkmenistan

Turkey (E)

UAE

Uzbekistan

Virgin Islands

Zambia

ARCHIVES BULLETINS OF EARTHQUAKE

PREDICTION

* The bulletin is updated after earthquake in Kyrgyzstan from July, 19th 2011, Ì=6.3.

       Mega-Earthquake OFF the EAST COAST of HONSHU, March 11, 2011, Ì=9.0

     JAPAN                       On the entropy value this earthquake is the strongest in the world

       11.03.2011                                         We feel sincere sympathy for victims and all Japanese

 

The scenarios of the development of seismicity and the forecasts of strong earthquakes for the seismoactive regions of world are given on our site. On the global map of seismic hazard are shown the regions, which are checked at current time.

       JAPAN                                News of  "GeoQuake" on Japan                                                                                                    

 

            

 31.01.2010: SS HAITI, Мs7.0. Port au Prince earthquake, HAITI, January 12, 2010, Мs=7.2. After catastrophic earthquake in Haiti, which led to the huge number of human victims and destruction, we carried out the special analysis of this earthquake, revealed SS of Haiti (Ms7.0) and on the basis of the method of seismic entropy made its retrospective forecast. We attempted based on the example Haiti, to accessibly present the advantages of method, to show deficiencies in the traditional methods of evaluating the seismic hazard and as to in practice already today help such countries as Haiti to decrease seismic risk. For the first time in the world practice we produced the visualization of the real process preparation catastrophic earthquake (haiti_move02)                     

 

 

 

 

  

 

POPULAR                         From pages GeoQ.ru

 

       ITALY                                News of  "GeoQuake" on Italy                                                                                                         

 

           The uzer of this site must know:

       CALIFORNIA                       News of "GeoQuake" on California (USA)                                                                                      

 

Turkey. We modelled the source of expected earthquake in eastern Turkey and the formation of weak tsunami in the Black sea. Waves to 50 cm can be observed in Yalta, Sevastopol, Feodosiya, Novorossiysk and Tuapse

(see NAF move01).

 

            

"I am writing to you on behalf of the thousands of my fellow citizens, many of whom are in panic from publications in the media about the possible strong deadly earthquake in Ukraine and Moldova...".

 (Mail, 10.03.2010). On the request of the visitors of site we give information about the seismic situation and the seismic danger in Romania, Moldova, SW Ukraine, Crimea.   /March14, 2010/

California (USA). Catastrophic earthquake from M=7.7-7.9 in Southern California is expected with 2014 until 2016 on the segment of San Andreas fault in South California (from Palmdale through San Bernardino to Riverside). In the area of influence of the forecasted earthquake falls Los Angeles.

China NE. After more than 32 years, on the basis of the method of seismic entropy it was possible to prove that the Haicheng earthquake (February 04, 1975, M=7.3) was trigger and forerunner of the Tangshan earthquake (July 28, 1976, M=7.8).

For the illustration of the result of

the forecasts on the map the World

Atlas of Micrasoft is used.

 

 

China. By trigger, and the forerunner of the Sichuan earthquake on May 12, 2008, M=7.9 was earthquake on March 20, 2008 M=7.3 in the West of China, located on the distance of 2300 km from the future source!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AREAS OF APPLICATION OF THE METHOD

SEISMIC ENTROPY

 

 

 

 

 

Sachalin (RF). In the subsystem North of Sakhalin occurs some strengthening force of tectonic earthquakes due to variation content of natural hydrocarbon fluids. Oilgas-extraction can affect the natural processes and greater these effects in the coming years.

 

 

 

 

 

Gazley (Uzbekistan). Studies show that Gazley earthquake in 1976 year have been prepared tectonics in the SS Mid Asia since 1929. Curiously, that the disruptive Tashkent earthquake of 1966, M5.2 is one of the links, the beginning of the last stage of preparation Gazley earthquakes of 1976. The preparation Gazley earthquakes in 1976 year the Semipalatinsk explosions are not involved, but the injection of water in natural gas production could contribute to the formation of main rupture near Gazley ...

MAGNITUDE OF EARTHQUAKES DETERMINED BY THE METHOD OF SEISMIC ENTROPY REFLECTS REAL TECTONIC PROCESSES IN THE EARTH

Estimated magnitude of strong earthquakes on the basis of the law of seismic entropy production corresponds to energy of an earthquake, prepared and accumulated geological structure in SS for many years. A traditional magnitude (determined by records of seismic waves), may contain influence fluids, artificial and technogenic factors in the source zone, that can strengthen or weaken the force of the earthquake. Comparison of the forecasted magnitudes of strong earthquakes by the method of seismic entropy with the traditional magnitudes, determined by seismological networks, and analysis deviations to that or other side, makes it possible to reveal fluid, technogenic component in the preparation of  earthquake.

 

 

 

 

 

 

STRONGEST EARTHQUAKES OF WORLD ON THE ENTROPY

1.  2011.03   K=17.99   W=20.59    M=9.0 Japan

2.  1960.05   K=17.95   W=20.35    М=9.5  Chile

3.  1952.11  K=17.45   W=20.25    М=9.0  Kamchatka

4.  2010.02   K=17.70   W=20.20    М=8.8  Chile

5.  2008.05   K=17.40   W=19.94    М=8.0  China

6.  1868.08   К=17.34   W=19.83    М=8.5  Chile

7.  2004.12   К=17.00   W=19.50    М=9.1  Sumatra

To the preparation of these earthquakes earth lithosphere spent the greatest effort.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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